Dr Florence Gaub is Director of the Research Division at the NATO Defense College. She also serves on the World Economic Forum’s Global Future Council on Complex Risks. She is the author of Future: A Manual (forthcoming, 2026). Dr Andrew Monaghan is a Senior Associate Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute in London, and a Senior Associate Fellow at the NATO Defense College in Rome. He is the author of Blitzkrieg and the Russian Art of War (2025).