David V. Gioe is a British Academy Global Professor in the King’s College London Department of War Studies. He is also History Fellow for the US Army Cyber Institute at West Point. He is Director of Studies for the Cambridge Security Initiative. Kenneth Stolworthy is Department of Defense Senior Executive. He is the Director of the Russia Strategic Initiative (RSI) at the US European Command in Stuttgart, Germany, and formerly the US National Intelligence Manager for Europe, Eurasia. This analysis is solely that of the authors. It reflects no position of, nor endorsement by, the Department of Defense or the United States Government.